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RoanokeFan
01-17-2012, 03:32 PM
DVOA RATINGS, WEEK 19 (http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2012/week-19-dvoa-ratings)

"Once again, it is time for postseason DVOA
ratings. As always, the following rules apply:
<ul> All 32 teams are ranked, whether they
made the playoffs or not. Teams are ranked in order of weighted
DVOA, not total season DVOA. Since weighted DVOA is meant to lower the strength
of older games, these ratings do not include Weeks 1-5, and Weeks 6-11 are
somewhat discounted. Teams are treated as having a bye week in
any week where they did not play. Since most teams haven't played in two weeks,
that means some of the ratings for non-playoff teams can start getting a little
unreliable. Really, this is only to be used for playoff teams, the other teams
are just there for ranking comparison purposes. DVOA, as always takes a long-term view of
an NFL team's performance. That means that the games of the last two weeks are
just two games among many, so teams may be listed below other teams that they
have beaten in the playoffs.[/list]


<font color="#0000FF">This really means something, of course,
when it comes to the Giants, whose season has followed a crazy up-down-up trend
similar to four years ago. If we look only at DVOA over the last four weeks, the
Giants would be number one. But the Giants were lousy between Week 10 and Week
15. Those games are all accounted for in the current weighted DVOA ratings.
History has shown us that most of the time, it's better to look at two or three
months of games. And by history, I mean pretty much most of the last 20 years
except for the 2007 Giants and 2008 Cardinals. So, honestly, who the hell knows.
The Giants confuse me.</font></p>



The playoff odds report (http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds)
is also updated through through this week's games.</p>
<p align="center">* * * * *</p>


To save people some time, we remind
everyone to put their angry troll hatred into the official zlionsfan angry troll
hatred Mad Libs form:</p>



If you are new to our website, you can
read the explanation of how DVOA is figured <a>here</a>. As always, positive numbers represent more points so
DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.</p>



</p>

<table class="stats" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0">

<tbody><tr>
<td>
</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">TEAM </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI.
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">LAST
WEEK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">W-L </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI OFF
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">OFF.
RANK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI DEF
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">DEF.
RANK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI S.T.
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">S.T.
RANK </td></tr>
<tr>
<td>
</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td>NO</td>
<td align="right">32.6%</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="center">14-4</td>
<td align="right">48.9%</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">16.6%</td>
<td align="right">30</td>
<td align="right">0.4%</td>
<td align="right">17</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td>NE</td>
<td align="right">32.4%</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="center">14-3</td>
<td align="right">40.1%</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">15.5%</td>
<td align="right">26</td>
<td align="right">7.7%</td>
<td align="right">3</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td>PIT</td>
<td align="right">26.0%</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="center">12-5</td>
<td align="right">15.7%</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">-7.0%</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">3.3%</td>
<td align="right">9</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td>PHI</td>
<td align="right">24.4%</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">16.8%</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="right">-6.9%</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">0.6%</td>
<td align="right">16</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td>GB</td>
<td align="right">22.3%</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="center">15-2</td>
<td align="right">34.7%</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">16.0%</td>
<td align="right">28</td>
<td align="right">3.6%</td>
<td align="right">8</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td>HOU</td>
<td align="right">20.2%</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="center">11-7</td>
<td align="right">8.5%</td>
<td align="right">12</td>
<td align="right">-10.5%</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1.2%</td>
<td align="right">13</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td>SF</td>
<td align="right">19.7%</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="center">14-3</td>
<td align="right">3.2%</td>
<td align="right">16</td>
<td align="right">-8.7%</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">7.8%</td>
<td align="right">2</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td>DET</td>
<td align="right">16.1%</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="center">10-7</td>
<td align="right">20.1%</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">1.2%</td>
<td align="right">14</td>
<td align="right">-2.8%</td>
<td align="right">27</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>9</td>
<td>BAL</td>
<td align="right">14.5%</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="center">13-4</td>
<td align="right">8.3%</td>
<td align="right">13</td>
<td align="right">-9.6%</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">-3.4%</td>
<td align="right">29</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>10</td>
<td>NYG</td>
<td align="right">13.7%</td>
<td align="right">13</td>
<td align="center">11-7</td>
<td align="right">17.5%</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="right">4.6%</td>
<td align="right">17</td>
<td align="right">0.9%</td>
<td align="right">15</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>11</td>
<td>ATL</td>
<td align="right">12.4%</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="center">10-7</td>
<td align="right">8.9%</td>
<td align="right">11</td>
<td align="right">-5.7%</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="right">-2.2%</td>
<td align="right">26</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>12</td>
<td>SEA</td>
<td align="right">11.0%</td>
<td align="right">12</td>
<td align="center">7-9</td>
<td align="right">3.0%</td>
<td align="right">18</td>
<td align="right">-5.9%</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">2.1%</td>
<td align="right">11</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>13</td>
<td>SD</td>
<td align="right">10.4%</td>
<td align="right">15</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">26.0%</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">16.5%</td>
<td align="right">29</td>
<td align="right">0.9%</td>
<td align="right">14</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>14</td>
<td>TEN</td>
<td align="right">9.9%</td>
<td align="right">16</td>
<td align="center">9-7</td>
<td align="right">1.4%</td>
<td align="right">19</td>
<td align="right">3.3%</td>
<td align="right">15</td>
<td align="right">11.9%</td>
<td align="right">1</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>15</td>
<td>MIA</td>
<td align="right">9.1%</td>
<td align="right">11</td>
<td align="center">6-10</td>
<td align="right">-2.9%</td>
<td align="right">20</td>
<td align="right">-6.4%</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="right">5.6%</td>
<td align="right">5</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>16</td>
<td>NYJ</td>
<td align="right">6.9%</td>
<td align="right">14</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">-3.7%</td>
<td align="right">21</td>
<td align="right">-6.9%</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="right">3.7%</td>
<td align="right">7</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>
</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">TEAM </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI.
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">LAST
WEEK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">W-L </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI OFF
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">OFF.
RANK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI DEF
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">DEF.
RANK </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">WEI S.T.
DVOA </td>
<td rowspan="2" align="center">S.T.
RANK </td></tr>
<tr>
<td>
</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>17</td>
<td>CAR</td>
<td align="right">2.1%</td>
<td align="right">17</td>
<td align="center">6-10</td>
<td align="right">26.8%</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">21.7%</td>
<td align="right">31</td>
<td align="right">-3.1%</td>
<td align="right">28</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>18</td>
<td>DAL</td>
<td align="right">-2.7%</td>
<td align="right">18</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">10.8%</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="right">12.9%</td>
<td align="right">23</td>
<td align="right">-0.6%</td>
<td align="right">19</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>19</td>
<td>CIN</td>
<td align="right">-5.0%</td>
<td align="right">20</td>
<td align="center">9-8</td>
<td align="right">3.1%</td>
<td align="right">17</td>
<td align="right">10.8%</td>
<td align="right">22</td>
<td align="right">2.7%</td>
<td align="right">10</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>20</td>
<td>WAS</td>
<td align="right">-6.0%</td>
<td align="right">22</td>
<td align="center">5-11</td>
<td align="right">3.2%</td>
<td align="right">15</td>
<td align="right">7.4%</td>
<td align="right">19</td>
<td align="right">-1.8%</td>
<td align="right">24</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>21</td>
<td>CHI</td>
<td align="right">-6.6%</td>
<td align="right">19</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">-25.7%</td>
<td align="right">32</td>
<td align="right">-13.2%</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">6.0%</td>
<td align="right">4</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>22</td>
<td>CLE</td>
<td align="right">-9.5%</td>
<td align="right">24</td>
<td align="center">4-12</td>
<td align="right">-4.7%</td>
<td align="right">22</td>
<td align="right">9.3%</td>
<td align="right">20</td>
<td align="right">4.6%</td>
<td align="right">6</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>23</td>
<td>OAK</td>
<td align="right">-10.0%</td>
<td align="right">25</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">6.4%</td>
<td align="right">14</td>
<td align="right">15.1%</td>
<td align="right">24</td>
<td align="right">-1.2%</td>
<td align="right">20</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>24</td>
<td>KC</td>
<td align="right">-10.8%</td>
<td align="right">23</td>
<td align="center">7-9</td>
<td align="right">-14.6%</td>
<td align="right">26</td>
<td align="right">-5.5%</td>
<td align="right">11</td>
<td align="right">-1.7%</td>
<td align="right">23</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>25</td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td align="right">-12.8%</td>
<td align="right">26</td>
<td align="center">8-8</td>
<td align="right">-15.6%</td>
<td align="right">28</td>
<td align="right">-1.0%</td>
<td align="right">13</td>
<td align="right">1.9%</td>
<td align="right">12</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>26</td>
<td>DEN</td>
<td align="right">-16.0%</td>
<td align="right">21</td>
<td align="center">9-9</td>
<td align="right">-5.9%</td>
<td align="right">23</td>
<td align="right">10.2%</td>
<td align="right">21</td>
<td align="right">0.1%</td>
<td align="right">18</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>27</td>
<td>JAC</td>
<td align="right">-17.7%</td>
<td align="right">27</td>
<td align="center">5-11</td>
<td align="right">-17.9%</td>
<td align="right">29</td>
<td align="right">-1.7%</td>
<td align="right">12</td>
<td align="right">-1.5%</td>
<td align="right">22</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>28</td>
<td>BUF</td>
<td align="right">-22.9%</td>
<td align="right">28</td>
<td align="center">6-10</td>
<td align="right">-6.3%</td>
<td align="right">24</td>
<td align="right">15.4%</td>
<td align="right">25</td>
<td align="right">-1.3%</td>
<td align="right">21</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>29</td>
<td>IND</td>
<td align="right">-25.0%</td>
<td align="right">29</td>
<td align="center">2-14</td>
<td align="right">-14.6%</td>
<td align="right">27</td>
<td align="right">6.9%</td>
<td align="right">18</td>
<td align="right">-3.4%</td>
<td align="right">30</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>30</td>
<td>MIN</td>
<td align="right">-32.0%</td>
<td align="right">30</td>
<td align="center">3-13</td>
<td align="right">-11.2%</td>
<td align="right">25</td>
<td align="right">15.6%</td>
<td align="right">27</td>
<td align="right">-5.2%</td>
<td align="right">31</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>31</td>
<td>STL</td>
<td align="right">-32.5%</td>
<td align="right">31</td>
<td align="center">2-14</td>
<td align="right">-21.8%</td>
<td align="right">31</td>
<td align="right">4.6%</td>
<td align="right">16</td>
<td align="right">-6.2%</td>
<td align="right">32</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>32</td>
<td>TB</td>
<td align="right">-45.2%</td>
<td align="right">32</td>
<td align="center">4-12</td>
<td align="right">-19.9%</td>
<td align="right">30</td>
<td align="right">23.1%</td>
<td align="right">32</td>
<td align="right">-2.1%</td>
<td align="right">25</td></tr></tbody></table>



Here are the one-game DVOA ratings for the
second round of the playoffs. Yes, Houston did in fact come out with a slightly
higher DVOA than Baltimore. Fumbles are such a bummer.</p>



</p>

<table>

<tbody><tr>
<td>
<table class="stats" cellpadding="2">

<tbody><tr>
<td colspan="5" align="center">DVOA (with opponent adjustments)</td></tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">TEAM</td>
<td align="center">TOT</td>
<td align="center">OFF</td>
<td align="center">DEF</td>
<td align="center">ST</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>SF</td>
<td align="right">55%</td>
<td align="right">17%</td>
<td align="right">-16%</td>
<td align="right">22%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NO</td>
<td align="right">21%</td>
<td align="right">44%</td>
<td align="right">14%</td>
<td align="right">-8%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NE</td>
<td align="right">106%</td>
<td align="right">68%</td>
<td align="right">-21%</td>
<td align="right">17%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>DEN</td>
<td align="right">-102%</td>
<td align="right">-54%</td>
<td align="right">42%</td>
<td align="right">-6%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>BAL</td>
<td align="right">23%</td>
<td align="right">-24%</td>
<td align="right">-36%</td>
<td align="right">11%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>HOU</td>
<td align="right">29%</td>
<td align="right">-12%</td>
<td align="right">-43%</td>
<td align="right">-2%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NYG</td>
<td align="right">63%</td>
<td align="right">31%</td>
<td align="right">-35%</td>
<td align="right">-3%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>GB</td>
<td align="right">-11%</td>
<td align="right">1%</td>
<td align="right">19%</td>
<td align="right">7%</td></tr></tbody></table></td>
<td>
<table class="stats" cellpadding="2">

<tbody><tr>
<td colspan="5" align="center">VOAf (no opponent adjustments)</td></tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">TEAM</td>
<td align="center">TOT</td>
<td align="center">OFF</td>
<td align="center">DEF</td>
<td align="center">ST</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>SF</td>
<td align="right">23%</td>
<td align="right">20%</td>
<td align="right">20%</td>
<td align="right">22%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NO</td>
<td align="right">9%</td>
<td align="right">33%</td>
<td align="right">16%</td>
<td align="right">-8%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NE</td>
<td align="right">124%</td>
<td align="right">73%</td>
<td align="right">-34%</td>
<td align="right">17%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>DEN</td>
<td align="right">-112%</td>
<td align="right">-41%</td>
<td align="right">66%</td>
<td align="right">-6%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>BAL</td>
<td align="right">8%</td>
<td align="right">-33%</td>
<td align="right">-30%</td>
<td align="right">11%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>HOU</td>
<td align="right">10%</td>
<td align="right">-27%</td>
<td align="right">-39%</td>
<td align="right">-2%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>NYG</td>
<td align="right">38%</td>
<td align="right">40%</td>
<td align="right">-1%</td>
<td align="right">-3%</td></tr>
<tr>
<td>GB</td>
<td align="right">-15%</td>
<td align="right">6%</td>
<td align="right">27%</td>
<td align="right">7%</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>



Based on DVOA, this actually isn't the
worst game the Packers played all year. It's close. They had -17.5% DVOA for
their Week 11 narrow win over Tampa Bay, and -15.5% for their Week 15 loss to
Kansas City.</p>


The Patriots' 45-10 domination of Denver
wasn't just a run-of-the-mill big win where the Patriots offense played its
usual good game and the Broncos offense played its usual bad game. It was
actually one of the biggest wins of the season. The Patriots' single-game DVOA
was the third highest of the entire season, behind only two games: Houston's
Week 7 41-7 win over Tennessee and Baltimore's Week 1 35-7 win over Pittsburgh.
Denver's single-game DVOA was the second lowest of the entire season, ahead of
only Washington's 23-0 loss to Buffalo in Week 8."</p>