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The Eli Factor

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  • The Eli Factor

    Lets do some trend analysis here. Shockey gets traded and Boss steps up and puts up good numbers. Boss leaves via free agency and another unknown starts producing (I forgot the kids name). The unknkown gets an ACL adn Bennett produces. Toomer retires, Plax fiasco occurs, and Steve Smith leaves us, Nicks and Cruz, and Manningham give us an even deadlier WR core. Now Barden is showing signs of being the latest to produce. The two constants here is for one KG and his offensive system, but more important is Eli. I think Eli has the ability to what Trent Dilfer terms "throw receivers open". His best attribute by far as a quarterback is his anticipation on his throws. As soon as the receiver makes the cut the ball is in his hands. This means Eli threw it before he made the cut sometimes a good bit before he cuts, so not that much separaton is needed.

    Bottom line is that I think as long as we have Eli we'll see good receivers put up great numbers and mediocre receivers look good because Eli's anticipation allows him to get them the ball as soon as they get separation. So as we hail Barden the latest new kid on the block to produce we should really be hailing Eli as well.
    Because of all of the effort and examination being poured into these predictions, the draft is a robust market that, in the aggregate, does a good job of sorting prospects from top to bottom.1 Yet despite so many people trying to “beat the market,” no single actor can do it consistently. Abnormal returns are likely due to luck, not skill. But that hasn’t stopped NFL executives from behaving with the confidence of traders.

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...eat-the-draft/

  • #2
    you cant remember Ballard?????

    QB and WR are a symbiotic relationship.
    "Measure Twice......Cut Once"
    You couldn't be more full of **** if you were break dancing in a Port-a-Potty.......Kruunch

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by B&RWarrior View Post
      Lets do some trend analysis here. Shockey gets traded and Boss steps up and puts up good numbers. Boss leaves via free agency and another unknown starts producing (I forgot the kids name). The unknkown gets an ACL adn Bennett produces. Toomer retires, Plax fiasco occurs, and Steve Smith leaves us, Nicks and Cruz, and Manningham give us an even deadlier WR core. Now Barden is showing signs of being the latest to produce. The two constants here is for one KG and his offensive system, but more important is Eli. I think Eli has the ability to what Trent Dilfer terms "throw receivers open". His best attribute by far as a quarterback is his anticipation on his throws. As soon as the receiver makes the cut the ball is in his hands. This means Eli threw it before he made the cut sometimes a good bit before he cuts, so not that much separaton is needed.

      Bottom line is that I think as long as we have Eli we'll see good receivers put up great numbers and mediocre receivers look good because Eli's anticipation allows him to get them the ball as soon as they get separation. So as we hail Barden the latest new kid on the block to produce we should really be hailing Eli as well.
      I think that Barden hugging Eli moment sums it all up nicely...

      I'm Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite team in the NFL.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Toadofsteel View Post
        I think that Barden hugging Eli moment sums it all up nicely...
        My thoughts exactly!

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by GameTime View Post
          you cant remember Ballard?????

          QB and WR are a symbiotic relationship.
          actually the other day I had a hard time finding his name..took me like 5 minuntes.
          My 5 year old son right before the kickoff of the Super Bowl 46: Dad, are the Giants gonna win?

          Burier: Yes.

          My 5 year old son right before the kickoff of Super Bowl 46: Do you promise?

          Burier: Yes. I promise.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by GameTime View Post
            you cant remember Ballard?????

            QB and WR are a symbiotic relationship.
            Sometimes yes and sometimes no. In terms of who receives the benefit I'd say the ratio varies . For Plax it might have been 60% : 40% with Eli getting the majority of the benefit as a younger QB. As Eli has matured I'd say the pendelum has swung to where the receivers are getting 60% of the benefit. Nicksy helps Eli out alot. Cruz I'd say equilibrium. Bennet and Barden I'd say they receive most of the benefit out of their relationship. Ballard, Pascoe, Hynoski, I'd say they get 70% of the benefit.
            Because of all of the effort and examination being poured into these predictions, the draft is a robust market that, in the aggregate, does a good job of sorting prospects from top to bottom.1 Yet despite so many people trying to “beat the market,” no single actor can do it consistently. Abnormal returns are likely due to luck, not skill. But that hasn’t stopped NFL executives from behaving with the confidence of traders.

            http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...eat-the-draft/

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by B&RWarrior View Post
              Sometimes yes and sometimes no. In terms of who receives the benefit I'd say the ratio varies . For Plax it might have been 60% : 40% with Eli getting the majority of the benefit as a younger QB. As Eli has matured I'd say the pendelum has swung to where the receivers are getting 60% of the benefit. Nicksy helps Eli out alot. Cruz I'd say equilibrium. Bennet and Barden I'd say they receive most of the benefit out of their relationship. Ballard, Pascoe, Hynoski, I'd say they get 70% of the benefit.
              symbiotic doesnt neccessarily mean "equal" . It just means and interdependant realationship. But I hear you.
              "Measure Twice......Cut Once"
              You couldn't be more full of **** if you were break dancing in a Port-a-Potty.......Kruunch

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by GameTime View Post
                symbiotic doesn't neccessarily mean "equal" . It just means and interdependant realationship. But I hear you.
                it usually is used to desribe a mutally beneficial relationship, though they don't usually quantify the benefits in terms of who recieves more benefit they differentiate it from a parisitic relationship. All the realtionships I desribed could be labeled symbiotic. I used the percentages to show varying levels of benefits depending on who the receiver was.

                I think we're saying the same thing.
                Because of all of the effort and examination being poured into these predictions, the draft is a robust market that, in the aggregate, does a good job of sorting prospects from top to bottom.1 Yet despite so many people trying to “beat the market,” no single actor can do it consistently. Abnormal returns are likely due to luck, not skill. But that hasn’t stopped NFL executives from behaving with the confidence of traders.

                http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...eat-the-draft/

                Comment

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