Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Spread already down to 7.5

Collapse
X
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Spread already down to 7.5

    Boy did Vegas misjudge the spread

  • #2
    Re: Spread already down to 7.5

    [quote user="ajd121"]Boy did Vegas misjudge the spread
    [/quote]yep and thats why it went down.
    Peace,
    DragonSoul



    Twitter Account! https://twitter.com/DragonSoul

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Spread already down to 7.5

      [quote user="DragonSoul"][quote user="ajd121"]Boy did Vegas misjudge the spread
      [/quote]yep and thats why it went down.[/quote]
      it went down cause every1 is putting money on the gmen..i could care less if the pack was favored by 50 i like being the underdog

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Spread already down to 7.5

        It was originally 9. It might go down to 5. I wouldn't bet on this game to save my life.
        Because of all of the effort and examination being poured into these predictions, the draft is a robust market that, in the aggregate, does a good job of sorting prospects from top to bottom.1 Yet despite so many people trying to “beat the market,” no single actor can do it consistently. Abnormal returns are likely due to luck, not skill. But that hasn’t stopped NFL executives from behaving with the confidence of traders.

        http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...eat-the-draft/

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Spread already down to 7.5

          [quote user="B&RWarrior"]It was originally 9. It might go down to 5. I wouldn't bet on this game to save my life.[/quote]
          I was thinking 5 as well, but I bet it closes at 6.5. Even though we're playing better, the Pack are the 15-1 defending champs, with the likely MVP QB, who score a boatload of points and are playing at home.

          9 was crazy. This isn't the Falcons they're playing. The Giants have, in theory at least, the type of D that can do damage to their O. The Falcs never could have matched that.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Spread already down to 7.5

            I don't think it gets down to 5. Take out 3 pts that any home team gets and then give Green Bay another 3.5 pts just b/c they've beat the Giants and are considered the best team in the NFC or even the NFL. I think 6.5 or 7 is fair.

            I also wonder if geography plays a part here. I would guess that more money from NY, CT & NJ is coming in vs. money from the Midwest just do to the east coast being more densely populated.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Spread already down to 7.5

              [quote user="RugDaniels"]I don't think it gets down to 5. Take out 3 pts that any home team gets and then give Green Bay another 3.5 pts just b/c they've beat the Giants and are considered the best team in the NFC or even the NFL. I think 6.5 or 7 is fair.

              I also wonder if geography plays a part here. I would guess that more money from NY, CT & NJ is coming in vs. money from the Midwest just do to the east coast being more densely populated.[/quote]

              you think a lot of giants fans are betting on this game? i think giants fans know better than anyone that they are inconsistent and a scary bet.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Spread already down to 7.5

                Not necessarily Giants fans betting but at 9 id take that all day it will be interesting to see where it ends up. On a side note I laid 20 bucks on the giants to win it all this year back in July. I was getting 15-1 so I figured why the heck not. Let's go Big Blue I need a bottle of Blue Label!!!!!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Spread already down to 7.5

                  Still 9 at bodog (bovada now) for anyone who bets.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Spread already down to 7.5

                    is ross playing?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Spread already down to 7.5

                      [quote user="RugDaniels"]I don't think it gets down to 5. Take out 3 pts that any home team gets and then give Green Bay another 3.5 pts just b/c they've beat the Giants and are considered the best team in the NFC or even the NFL. I think 6.5 or 7 is fair.

                      I also wonder if geography plays a part here. I would guess that more money from NY, CT & NJ is coming in vs. money from the Midwest just do to the east coast being more densely populated.[/quote]

                      Most of the $$ coming in from the midwest, outside of Wisconsin of course, is probably being put on the Giants. Much of the midwest outside of Wisconsin consists of Bears and Vikings fans. They will be watching the game on Sunday, crying in their beers, praying to whichever God they believe in for New York to win. Bears fans especially, having been denied a spot in the tournament after losing last years NFC Championship game to these Packers. If every Chicago resident bet $1 on this game, the money line would be even by Friday.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Spread already down to 7.5


                        Why do sportsbooks change their lines?





                        A line moves because the book is trying to balance out the money
                        being laid on either side. If the public favors one team too much, the
                        line moves to attract support to the other team.





                        If you see a line move significantly, the public may be responding to
                        a situation you are not aware of, like a suspension. Or it might simply
                        be one team is overly popular.


                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Spread already down to 7.5

                          [quote user="zigwontdieNYG"]is ross playing?[/quote]

                          He is practicing so I assume he plays without a setback
                          "When I was 15, I could not believe how dumb my father was.....when I was 25, I could not believe how much he had learned in 10 years"

                          1st to use the phrase "In Reese we trust"

                          Comment

                          Working...
                          X