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The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

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  • The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

    The Vegas line opened at -3.5 favoring the Patriots, but the Giants already beat the Patriots this season. Why are they favored? I broke some of it down if you'd like to check it out here:

    http://sports-kings.com/?p=8576


    Thanks!

    Shane
    Twitter: @Shaner021
    (Not a spambot)!

  • #2
    Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

    Because they are the Patriots. Their value seems to always be inflated because of the Brady factor.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

      All I hear from patriots fans are "WE'RE FAVORED BY 3 WE'RE BETTER"

      Yeah, theyre dumb.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

        [quote user="Shaner021"]The Vegas line opened at -3.5 favoring the Patriots, but the Giants already beat the Patriots this season. Why are they favored? I broke some of it down if you'd like to check it out here:

        http://sports-kings.com/?p=8576


        Thanks!

        Shane
        Twitter: @Shaner021
        (Not a spambot)![/quote]
        I disagree with the secondary and receiver paragraphs. Both of those are advantage Giants. The QB's are even

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

          ok with this

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

            Our 7 losses compared to their 3 losses.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

              [quote user="THE_New_York_Giants"][quote user="Shaner021"]The Vegas line opened at -3.5 favoring the Patriots, but the Giants already beat the Patriots this season. Why are they favored? I broke some of it down if you'd like to check it out here:

              http://sports-kings.com/?p=8576


              Thanks!

              Shane
              Twitter: @Shaner021
              (Not a spambot)![/quote]
              I disagree with the secondary and receiver paragraphs. Both of those are advantage Giants. The QB's are even[/quote]

              I am fine with the WR paragraph as their TE's make up the difference for our distinct advantage at WR. Our secondary has a clear edge. Throw out the regular season stats which are nonsense at this point. Brady still has the advantage over Eli. Brady versus our defense vs Eli against their defense makes it tighter though.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?



                I don't care if they are favored by a 100 they need to lose!!! its going to be a long two weeks!!




                Go Giants !!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                  I knew Giants fans would give immediate feedback! I do think the Giants have better WRs but obviously you have to include Gronk & Hernandez with the Patriots. I tried to analyze it statistically so there is a method to the madness, even though we all know stats are thrown out the door at kickoff. I think the Giants biggest advantage in the pass rush may be all you need. Sure the Pats didnt have Gronk & Hernandez in 07 but Eli has 4 more years of experience now. Guess its why they play the game lol!

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                    The Pats are favored to win? Oh hell, we might as well give up now, thats like playing an undefeated team team and expecting to win.
                    Oh, wait....!!!!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                      [quote user="Shaner021"]I knew Giants fans would give immediate feedback! I do think the Giants have better WRs but obviously you have to include Gronk & Hernandez with the Patriots. I tried to analyze it statistically so there is a method to the madness, even though we all know stats are thrown out the door at kickoff. I think the Giants biggest advantage in the pass rush may be all you need. Sure the Pats didnt have Gronk & Hernandez in 07 but Eli has 4 more years of experience now. Guess its why they play the game lol![/quote]

                      Appreciate your doing this analysis. One intangible is that Giants do better as underdogs- they thrive on it so Pats being favored is positive and again invokes shades of 2007.

                      Advantage: Giants

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                        [quote user="swimeasy"][quote user="Shaner021"]I knew Giants fans would give immediate feedback! I do think the Giants have better WRs but obviously you have to include Gronk & Hernandez with the Patriots. I tried to analyze it statistically so there is a method to the madness, even though we all know stats are thrown out the door at kickoff. I think the Giants biggest advantage in the pass rush may be all you need. Sure the Pats didnt have Gronk & Hernandez in 07 but Eli has 4 more years of experience now. Guess its why they play the game lol![/quote]

                        Appreciate your doing this analysis. One intangible is that Giants do better as underdogs- they thrive on it so Pats being favored is positive and again invokes shades of 2007.

                        Advantage: Giants
                        [/quote]
                        Nicks/Manningham/Cruz/Ballard/Hynoski > Gronk/Hernandez/Branch/Ochocinco... Just saying

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                          [quote user="pj18"]Our 7 losses compared to their 3 losses.
                          [/quote]

                          this.

                          if we were 1st seed with 13 regular season wins and vegas put us as underdogs, this place would BLOW UP.

                          doesn't really matter, the spread will thin out by the end of the week.
                          sigpic

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                            [quote user="Shaner021"]The Vegas line opened at -3.5 favoring the Patriots, but the Giants already beat the Patriots this season. Why are they favored? I broke some of it down if you'd like to check it out here:

                            http://sports-kings.com/?p=8576


                            Thanks!

                            Shane
                            Twitter: @Shaner021
                            (Not a spambot)![/quote]


                            They should be favored. They were four games better than the Giants in the regular season.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: The Patriots are Favored to Win the Super Bowl but Should They Be?

                              I hear what you are saying about your receiving corps, but I tried to use the stats to back up my theory.

                              FYI, before I started checking stats I though the Giants had the advantage in both RBs and receiving.

                              Everyone knows an analysis for football games is garbage anyway! But thanks for reading it!

                              Comment

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