USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS

"Everyone loves mock drafts, but the truth is they are kind of silly. Every
draft day there are millions of unforeseen scenarios and trades that alter
everything. It is nearly impossible to anticipate who will be available at a
given time.

That being said, Giants 101 recently did some very heavy research into how
the New York
Giants approach the NFL Draft and
will now use that as a projective tool for 2012.


Here is a recap of some of the many takeaways the research offered us.





NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell (4th R) stands with top NFL prospects
from Alabama schools and Alabama coach Nick Saban (4th L) during a moment of
silence for the victims of the tornados that have devastated parts of Alabama
before the 2011 NFL football
Draft in New York
April 28, 2011. REUTERS/Mike Segar (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL
IMAGES OF THE DAY)




















1. Over 71% of the time, the New York Giants draft for pass offense and defense.
Cornerback, wide receiver, and defensive end make up the lions share of their
top picks (outside of the quarterback)




2. Running back and tight end are among the least valued positions on the
Giant draft board.




Despite needs in the backfield and at tight end, the Giants aren't likely to
address those issues until later on in the draft. They are more likely to
continue to build upon premium positions such as wide receiver and pass rusher
early in the draft.




Since it is almost impossible to guess whom will be available at the 32 spot,
we here at Giants 101 were able to narrow the field based on draft
philosophy.




1. Vinny Curry, DE, Marshall, Nick Perry, DE, USC, Luke Kuechly,
MLB, Boston College, Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State, Kendall
Wright
, WR, Baylor, Zach
Brown
, LB, North Carolina




Here is some background on aforementioned players.




Both Perry and Curry fit nicely into the pass rush rotation from day 1 while
projecting as a possible replacement for Mathias Kiwanukaat the SAM linebacker
spot in a few seasons. Maybe even Osi Umenyira as well. If one or both of them
depart in the next 2-3 seasons, it will be absolutely necessary for the Giants
to add another elite pass rusher. There are quite a few available right now, it
would shock no one to see the Giants go after one early here.




Zach
Brown
and Luke Keuchly both would go somewhat against the grain in terms of
what the Giants typically look for earlyin drafts. The team rarely jumps at
linebackers. I tend to think that the 30-36 range is the prime range for 4-3
middle linebackers in the draft now.




They are extremely undervalued now and I think the Giants would be quick to
snatch up the best player available in the defensive front 7.




Kendall
Wright
and maybe Georgia Tech's Stephen Hill could slip if there is a run on
another position. The Giants love offensive weapons and Eli Manning is a
quarterback in his prime, it makes sense to continue to give him said
weapons.




Take absolutely nothing from Jerry Reese's endorsement of the teams
linebackers and wide receivers. He endorsed Mario Manninghamand Steve Smith in
the spring of 2009 right before he drafted Hakeem Nicks.




The rules of the NFL enhance the
value of pass rushers and wide receivers. The Giants were acute enough to notice
this a half decade ago and it paid off in the form of 2 Super Bowls.




2. Lamar
Miller
, RB, Miami, Mychal Kendricks, LB, California, Marvin McNutt, WR,
Iowa, Chris
Givens
, WR, Wake Forest, Nick Toon, WR, Wisconson, Brian Quick, WR,
AppalachianState




This second round is excruciatingly difficult to get a guage on and I can
absolutely picture the Giants trading out of here. The Giants should be able to
nab any one of these guys in the early 3rd round.




With the added need for a running back, I would not be suprised if New York
looked to get a bunch of picks in he 3rd and looked for some offensive
play-makers where the value is best.




Toon, Quick, Givens, and McNutt are the most intriguing options at wide
receiver here with their skill- sets, and I'm not convinced wide receiver is not
a very nigh priority for the Giants.




3. Omar
Bolden
, CB, Arizona State, Bernard
Pierce
, RB, Temple, Audie Cole, MLB, North Carolina State, Jonathan
Massaquoi, DE, Troy, Trumaine Johnson, CB/S, Montana, Antonio Allen, SS, South
Carolina




While it has been said that this draft is not particularly deep or talented,
I am having a tough time buying that.




Perhaps it is just the way the NFL as a whole approaches the draft now. Teams jump on
players for measurablesand pre- draft hype and quarterbacks are valued at an
absurd rate.




There are so many productive players projected to be available in the middle
rounds and Jerry Reese likes production. The Giants go after players and develop
them within a system. If they believe that a guy can work in a system, he gets
drafted simple as that.




The deeper I dig into this process the harder it makes it to pin point what
New York
will do early on. They can get a strong pass rushing prospect like Massaquoi
here in the 3rdor even a solid linebacker for some depth.




All that said, I think we see a running back a bit earlier than expected for
the Giants, a guy who projects as an NFL starter down the line. The Giants may stick with
Bradshaw now, they may like Da' RelScott, and they may even pick up a stop gap,
but frankly I am not betting on a single one of those right now.




Conclusion




Giants 101 went 4 rounds deep to see how the Giants valued players in the
draft during Jerry Reese's tenure, though it will be difficult to go 4 deep with
this process.




In the first 3 rounds, expect new York to continue to bolster pass offense and pass
defense. A wide receiver, a corer/safety, and a pass rusher almost surely factor
into New York's
plans. From the pass rusher perspective, keep a close eye on the ones who are
athletic enough to take some time at SAM.




Sticking with the "best player available" strategy, if a stud middle
linebacker or running back presents themselves to the Giants, I don't expect
them to pass."