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Thread: USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS

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    Moderator RoanokeFan's Avatar
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    USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS

    USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS

    "Everyone loves mock drafts, but the truth is they are kind of silly. Every
    draft day there are millions of unforeseen scenarios and trades that alter
    everything. It is nearly impossible to anticipate who will be available at a
    given time.

    That being said, Giants 101 recently did some very heavy research into how
    the New York
    Giants approach the NFL Draft and
    will now use that as a projective tool for 2012.


    Here is a recap of some of the many takeaways the research offered us.





    NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell (4th R) stands with top NFL prospects
    from Alabama schools and Alabama coach Nick Saban (4th L) during a moment of
    silence for the victims of the tornados that have devastated parts of Alabama
    before the 2011 NFL football
    Draft in New York
    April 28, 2011. REUTERS/Mike Segar (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL
    IMAGES OF THE DAY)




















    1. Over 71% of the time, the New York Giants draft for pass offense and defense.
    Cornerback, wide receiver, and defensive end make up the lions share of their
    top picks (outside of the quarterback)




    2. Running back and tight end are among the least valued positions on the
    Giant draft board.




    Despite needs in the backfield and at tight end, the Giants aren't likely to
    address those issues until later on in the draft. They are more likely to
    continue to build upon premium positions such as wide receiver and pass rusher
    early in the draft.




    Since it is almost impossible to guess whom will be available at the 32 spot,
    we here at Giants 101 were able to narrow the field based on draft
    philosophy.




    1. Vinny Curry, DE, Marshall, Nick Perry, DE, USC, Luke Kuechly,
    MLB, Boston College, Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State, Kendall
    Wright
    , WR, Baylor, Zach
    Brown
    , LB, North Carolina




    Here is some background on aforementioned players.




    Both Perry and Curry fit nicely into the pass rush rotation from day 1 while
    projecting as a possible replacement for Mathias Kiwanukaat the SAM linebacker
    spot in a few seasons. Maybe even Osi Umenyira as well. If one or both of them
    depart in the next 2-3 seasons, it will be absolutely necessary for the Giants
    to add another elite pass rusher. There are quite a few available right now, it
    would shock no one to see the Giants go after one early here.




    Zach
    Brown
    and Luke Keuchly both would go somewhat against the grain in terms of
    what the Giants typically look for earlyin drafts. The team rarely jumps at
    linebackers. I tend to think that the 30-36 range is the prime range for 4-3
    middle linebackers in the draft now.




    They are extremely undervalued now and I think the Giants would be quick to
    snatch up the best player available in the defensive front 7.




    Kendall
    Wright
    and maybe Georgia Tech's Stephen Hill could slip if there is a run on
    another position. The Giants love offensive weapons and Eli Manning is a
    quarterback in his prime, it makes sense to continue to give him said
    weapons.




    Take absolutely nothing from Jerry Reese's endorsement of the teams
    linebackers and wide receivers. He endorsed Mario Manninghamand Steve Smith in
    the spring of 2009 right before he drafted Hakeem Nicks.




    The rules of the NFL enhance the
    value of pass rushers and wide receivers. The Giants were acute enough to notice
    this a half decade ago and it paid off in the form of 2 Super Bowls.




    2. Lamar
    Miller
    , RB, Miami, Mychal Kendricks, LB, California, Marvin McNutt, WR,
    Iowa, Chris
    Givens
    , WR, Wake Forest, Nick Toon, WR, Wisconson, Brian Quick, WR,
    AppalachianState




    This second round is excruciatingly difficult to get a guage on and I can
    absolutely picture the Giants trading out of here. The Giants should be able to
    nab any one of these guys in the early 3rd round.




    With the added need for a running back, I would not be suprised if New York
    looked to get a bunch of picks in he 3rd and looked for some offensive
    play-makers where the value is best.




    Toon, Quick, Givens, and McNutt are the most intriguing options at wide
    receiver here with their skill- sets, and I'm not convinced wide receiver is not
    a very nigh priority for the Giants.




    3. Omar
    Bolden
    , CB, Arizona State, Bernard
    Pierce
    , RB, Temple, Audie Cole, MLB, North Carolina State, Jonathan
    Massaquoi, DE, Troy, Trumaine Johnson, CB/S, Montana, Antonio Allen, SS, South
    Carolina




    While it has been said that this draft is not particularly deep or talented,
    I am having a tough time buying that.




    Perhaps it is just the way the NFL as a whole approaches the draft now. Teams jump on
    players for measurablesand pre- draft hype and quarterbacks are valued at an
    absurd rate.




    There are so many productive players projected to be available in the middle
    rounds and Jerry Reese likes production. The Giants go after players and develop
    them within a system. If they believe that a guy can work in a system, he gets
    drafted simple as that.




    The deeper I dig into this process the harder it makes it to pin point what
    New York
    will do early on. They can get a strong pass rushing prospect like Massaquoi
    here in the 3rdor even a solid linebacker for some depth.




    All that said, I think we see a running back a bit earlier than expected for
    the Giants, a guy who projects as an NFL starter down the line. The Giants may stick with
    Bradshaw now, they may like Da' RelScott, and they may even pick up a stop gap,
    but frankly I am not betting on a single one of those right now.




    Conclusion




    Giants 101 went 4 rounds deep to see how the Giants valued players in the
    draft during Jerry Reese's tenure, though it will be difficult to go 4 deep with
    this process.




    In the first 3 rounds, expect new York to continue to bolster pass offense and pass
    defense. A wide receiver, a corer/safety, and a pass rusher almost surely factor
    into New York's
    plans. From the pass rusher perspective, keep a close eye on the ones who are
    athletic enough to take some time at SAM.




    Sticking with the "best player available" strategy, if a stud middle
    linebacker or running back presents themselves to the Giants, I don't expect
    them to pass."


    “Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.” MB Rule # 1






    # 80

  2. #2

    Re: USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS

    Nice post. I like the idea of a big play receiver at the end of the 1st but I also like a good CB if there's one available. I just don't trust this secondary outside of Webster at this point.

  3. #3
    All-Pro jomo's Avatar
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    Re: USING THE NEW YORK GIANTS' NFL DRAFT HISTORY TO PREDICT THEIR 2012 DRAFT PLANS



    Good stuff RF.




    Maybe running backs have low value forthe Giants in the draft nowbecause we got nothing out of Wheatley, Dayne, Woolfolk and Bunch (all #1's)!

    No one remembers who came in second.

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