View Poll Results: David Wilson Rushing Yards Over/Under 668

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  • Over

    27 58.70%
  • Under

    19 41.30%
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  1. #1

    David Wilson Over/Under/ Expectations

    I've taken a look at the past five seasons of 1st round Running-backs and their rookie year production which has led me to these numbers for over under:
    Attempts- O/U 153
    Rushing Yards- O/U 668
    YPC- O/U 4.4
    TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5
    Catches- O/U 20.5
    Rec Yards- O/U 173.5
    Rec TD's- .5

    Also if Wilson split these numbers down the middle would he meet your expectations?

    2011
    Pick Player Attempts Yds Avg TD's Rec Yds TD's
    28th Mark Ingram- 122 474 3.9 5 11 46 0

    2010
    9th CJ Spiller- 74 283 3.8 0 24 157 1
    12th Ryan Mathews- 158 678 4.3 7 22 145 0
    30th Javid Best- 171 555 3.2 4 58 487 2
    2009
    12th Moreno- 247 947 3.8 7 28 213 2
    27th Donald Brown- 78 281 3.6 3 11 169 0
    31st Beanie Wells- 176 793 4.5 7 12 143 0
    2008
    4th D. McFadden- 113 499 4.4 4 29 285 0
    13th J. Stewart- 184 836 4.5 10 8 47 0
    22nd Felix Jones- 30 266 8.9 3 2 10 0
    23rd R. Mendenhall 19 58 3.1 0 2 17 0
    24th Chris Johnson- 251 1228 4.9 9 43 260 1
    2007
    7th Adrian Peterson- 238 1341 5.6 12 19 268 1
    12th Marshawn Lynch- 280 1115 4.0 7 18 184 0
    152.9 668.1 4.37 5.6 20.5 173.6 .5
    Last edited by juice33s; 07-24-2012 at 04:37 PM.

  2. #2
    Attempts- O/U 153: UNDER- Jacobs only had 152 carries with AB missing a substantial amount of time. You gotta figure atleast early on Danny Ware will eat up alot of those carries

    Rushing Yards- O/U 668 OVER- but just barely. Jacobs averaged 830 yds a season in his last four as a Giant. I see Wilson topping out around 700

    YPC- O/U 4.4 OVER- I'm thinking around 4.6

    TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 OVER- The short yardage duties are open and Wilson's quick compact style of running might be a good match around the goal line

    Catches- O/U 20.5 UNDER- If there's one obvious weakness in Wilson's game it's pass protection, so i don't see the Giants using him a whole lot on obvious passing downs

    Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 UNDER- Same as above

    Rec TD's- .5 OVER- He'll probably take a screen pass to the house
    Last edited by juice33s; 07-24-2012 at 04:43 PM.

  3. #3
    I want to see Over, but I might go under here. I still think we might need to pick up a FA before the deadline too.
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  4. #4
    Starter lamas's Avatar
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    My expectations for Wilson this season are pretty low actually. I'm thinking Bradshaw gets the bulk of the carries this year (please stay healthy AB) and Wilson is brought on slow. I'd be happy if by week 12 (after the bye), Wilson shows he can protect the football, pick up the blitz, and that it's clear why we chose him in the first round (power/elusiveness/home run threat). Stats don't really come into play for me as long as he's showing improvement.

    By 2013, I'd like to see a 50/50 split with Bradshaw and approaching 1,000yards.

  5. #5
    All-Pro titwio's Avatar
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    Attempts- O/U 153:
    Under

    Rushing Yards
    - O/U 668:
    Under

    YPC
    - O/U 4.4:
    Over (I'll predict around 4.7)

    TD's
    (rushing)- O/U 5.5:
    Under (I can see 5 max...probably around 4)

    Catches
    - O/U 20.5:
    Under

    Rec Yards
    - O/U 173.5:
    Over (I think he'll have some big gains on some of his screens)

    Rec TD's
    - .5:
    Over (Maybe 2)

    *Thought I'd test out some of this software in my response*.
    Last edited by titwio; 07-24-2012 at 04:47 PM.

  6. #6
    All-Pro Captain Chaos's Avatar
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    Not that I don't love Bradshaw; however, he'll get injured and have to be held out four or five games, I think the kid will have a solid year.

  7. #7
    All-Pro jomo's Avatar
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    Attempts- O/U 153 Under
    Rushing Yards- O/U 668 Under
    YPC- O/U 4.4 Over
    TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 Over
    Catches- O/U 20.5 Under
    Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 Over
    Rec TD's- .5 Under
    No one remembers who came in second.

  8. #8

    how many?

    how many times will he miss/ pick up the correct blocking assignment?

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by 888888 View Post
    how many times will he miss/ pick up the correct blocking assignment?
    There will be some growing pains for sure, but do you remember a game a few years back against the Saints when Eli chewed Bradshaw out for a missed blitz pick?...Anyway, Bradshaw no doubt grew from that experience helping him to become perhaps the best pass blocking runningback in the entire NFL.

    With that in mind AB will be the Giants predominant 3rd down back

  10. #10
    Attempts- O/U 153 Under
    Rushing Yards- O/U 668 over
    YPC- O/U 4.4 Over
    TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 Over
    Catches- O/U 20.5 Under
    Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 Over
    Rec TD's- .5 over

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