David Wilson Over/Under/ Expectations

[juice33s]

I've taken a look at the past five seasons of 1st round Running-backs and their rookie year production which has led me to these numbers for over under:
Attempts- O/U 153
Rushing Yards- O/U 668
YPC- O/U 4.4
TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5
Catches- O/U 20.5
Rec Yards- O/U 173.5
Rec TD's- .5

Also if Wilson split these numbers down the middle would he meet your expectations?

2011
Pick Player Attempts Yds Avg TD's Rec Yds TD's
28th Mark Ingram- 122 474 3.9 5 11 46 0

2010
9th CJ Spiller- 74 283 3.8 0 24 157 1
12th Ryan Mathews- 158 678 4.3 7 22 145 0
30th Javid Best- 171 555 3.2 4 58 487 2
2009
12th Moreno- 247 947 3.8 7 28 213 2
27th Donald Brown- 78 281 3.6 3 11 169 0
31st Beanie Wells- 176 793 4.5 7 12 143 0
2008
4th D. McFadden- 113 499 4.4 4 29 285 0
13th J. Stewart- 184 836 4.5 10 8 47 0
22nd Felix Jones- 30 266 8.9 3 2 10 0
23rd R. Mendenhall 19 58 3.1 0 2 17 0
24th Chris Johnson- 251 1228 4.9 9 43 260 1
2007
7th Adrian Peterson- 238 1341 5.6 12 19 268 1
12th Marshawn Lynch- 280 1115 4.0 7 18 184 0
152.9 668.1 4.37 5.6 20.5 173.6 .5

[juice33s]

Attempts- O/U 153: UNDER- Jacobs only had 152 carries with AB missing a substantial amount of time. You gotta figure atleast early on Danny Ware will eat up alot of those carries

Rushing Yards- O/U 668 OVER- but just barely. Jacobs averaged 830 yds a season in his last four as a Giant. I see Wilson topping out around 700

YPC- O/U 4.4 OVER- I'm thinking around 4.6

TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 OVER- The short yardage duties are open and Wilson's quick compact style of running might be a good match around the goal line

Catches- O/U 20.5 UNDER- If there's one obvious weakness in Wilson's game it's pass protection, so i don't see the Giants using him a whole lot on obvious passing downs

Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 UNDER- Same as above

Rec TD's- .5 OVER- He'll probably take a screen pass to the house

[Fuhgeddaboutit]

I want to see Over, but I might go under here. I still think we might need to pick up a FA before the deadline too.

[lamas]

My expectations for Wilson this season are pretty low actually. I'm thinking Bradshaw gets the bulk of the carries this year (please stay healthy AB) and Wilson is brought on slow. I'd be happy if by week 12 (after the bye), Wilson shows he can protect the football, pick up the blitz, and that it's clear why we chose him in the first round (power/elusiveness/home run threat). Stats don't really come into play for me as long as he's showing improvement.

By 2013, I'd like to see a 50/50 split with Bradshaw and approaching 1,000yards.

[titwio]

Attempts- O/U 153:
Under

Rushing Yards- O/U 668:
Under

YPC- O/U 4.4:
Over (I'll predict around 4.7)

TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5:
Under (I can see 5 max...probably around 4)

Catches- O/U 20.5:
Under

Rec Yards- O/U 173.5:
Over (I think he'll have some big gains on some of his screens)

Rec TD's- .5:
Over (Maybe 2)

*Thought I'd test out some of this software in my response*.

[Captain Chaos]

Not that I don't love Bradshaw; however, he'll get injured and have to be held out four or five games, I think the kid will have a solid year.

[jomo]

Attempts- O/U 153 Under
Rushing Yards- O/U 668 Under
YPC- O/U 4.4 Over
TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 Over
Catches- O/U 20.5 Under
Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 Over
Rec TD's- .5 Under

[888888]

how many times will he miss/ pick up the correct blocking assignment?

[juice33s]

how many times will he miss/ pick up the correct blocking assignment?

There will be some growing pains for sure, but do you remember a game a few years back against the Saints when Eli chewed Bradshaw out for a missed blitz pick?...Anyway, Bradshaw no doubt grew from that experience helping him to become perhaps the best pass blocking runningback in the entire NFL.

With that in mind AB will be the Giants predominant 3rd down back

[BigBlue1971]

Attempts- O/U 153 Under
Rushing Yards- O/U 668 over
YPC- O/U 4.4 Over
TD's (rushing)- O/U 5.5 Over
Catches- O/U 20.5 Under
Rec Yards- O/U 173.5 Over
Rec TD's- .5 over