Personally, I still think he is a comparable prospect to Ansah. What has changed your mind? I dont see you mention him at all.
Btw, with regards to your above list. I think Warmack is the best prospect on your list of 1st rounders. I know guard isnt as high a value position, but he is the best player in that group and will likely be rated above those other guys. I also struggle to believe, although I know some project him to go there, that Trufant will be a 3rd rounder. If he does fall that far, I have to believe it is a case of him just being hidden up in the pacific northwest away from people. I also struggle with the notion of Carradine as a 3rd rounder. Him being a passrusher, and the extraordinary value they hold these days, i just dont see someone taking a chance on him sooner despite his knee injury.