
Originally Posted by
gmen46
Maybe something doesn't sit right because you're looking at the subjects from a flawed perspective--as many do when debating "elite" NFL QBs, in fact. This is not to criticize your viewpoint (and I think your military analogy for your definition of "elite" is as good as any other I've seen, and better than most).
But I would ask you to consider a different perspective on this subject.
Each season for each team is unique, in terms of rosters, because of the normal attrition of age, retirements,free agency/trade losses and gains, and the draft. Would you not agree?
With that in mind, consider that each season begins with 32 starting QBs, ALL of whom are paid--big, big bucks in most cases--to lead their respective team to the Super Bowl and a SB victory. Agree?
Consider also that each season ends for most teams with having started at least one replacement QB for at least 1 if not more games during the season. At a very rough guess, you could say that at least 50 different QBs start at least 1 game each season. That means that each season there are at least 50 QBs vying for a Super Bowl--at least part of the season, if not for all of it.
Then let's look at the last 7 years--may seem an arbitrary number of years, but is an appropriate number when you consider the QBs most frequently referred to as "elite"
The last 7 years there were at least 50 players trying to lead their team to the Promised Land. Again, this is a guess without me reviewing all 32 teams' 16 games for each of past 7 years, but I believe I'm erring on tghe conservative side of the real number.
50 x 7 = 350 players. Overlapping players/years, yes, but as a pool from which to determine "eliteness", it is a valid contextual concept for this debate.
Consider there have been 7 Super Bowl winning teams, with 7 winning QBs, of course. Well actually 6 different winning QBs.
2006 season = Peyton Manning as SB winning QB
2007 = Eli Manning
2008 = Ben Roethlisberger
2009 = Drew Brees
2010 = Aaron "oh-my-God-he's-so-great" Rodgers
2011 = Eli Manning
2012 = Joe "is-he-now-elite-or-not" Flacco
Three of these winners--Peyton, Brees, Rodgers--are on everybody's "elite" list, as is one--Brady--who has lost 2 SBs during that time span. And Roethlisberger, who is not on everybody's "elite" list, is at least on most fans' top 5 or top 6 QB list.
And they all have won only 1 SB in that time frame, while the other has lost 2 (although of course Brady has won 3 SBs early in his career and having gone to 2 more SBs since, places him at the top of the true "elite" imo)
Yet, Eli, as 1 of 6 SB winning Qbs the last 7 years (16.6% of QBs) is the only one to win 2 of the last 7 SBs (28.5% SBs) where the other 5 winning QBs (each = 16.6% of QBs) have won 1 (14% of SBs)..
That may be too small and esoteric a sample to make the case for elite. But going back to the at least 350 players trying over the past 7 years to win the SB, Eli being the only 1 of 350 to win the prize not just once, but twice, puts him in the 99.3 percentile of top achievement of NFL Qbs over the past 7 years.
So Eli is not "elite" in the eyes of many. OK, I get that. The term is a rather ill-defined term and is often mis-applied at any rate.
But while you may think I'm overstating the pool from which to judge Eli by counting the top Qbs who have started most of their games in this time frame multiple times, your 7 out of 32 does not make for the appropriate comparison either.