Bill Simmons on Giants-Falcons...
The Sports Guy weighs in:
GIANTS (-3) over Falcons
On Tuesday's B.S. Report,
Aaron Schatz revealed that the Falcons were the most consistent team
from week to week that Football Outsiders' DVOA rankings had ever
measured. That made sense: After all, the 2011 Falcons beat up bad
teams, played mediocre-to-solid teams close and lost to good teams. By
contrast, the 2011 Giants zigged every time you thought they would zag
and zagged every time you thought they would zig. Add everything up and
the Giants need only to play well to win; their best is better than
Atlanta's best. Or so it would seem.
Well … I'm not even sure the Giants need to play that well. The
Falcons were predictable mainly because their environment was
predictable: They played a whopping 12 games indoors (eight home games
plus games in Indy, New Orleans, Detroit and Houston), and three of
their four outdoor games happened in the first four weeks in warm
weather in Chicago (loss), Tampa (loss) and Seattle (barely won), with a
comeback December win in Carolina being the other. Sorry, I'm not
impressed. They also played four playoff teams (New Orleans twice, Green
Bay, Houston and Detroit) and finished 1-4, failing to crack 17 points
in three of the games. Picking them outdoors against a Giants team that
can do two things really well (throw the ball and rush the passer) and
has the best three players on the field (Eli Manning, Jason Pierre-Paul
and the electric Victor Cruz) seems like a stretch, especially when
they're getting only a field goal.
There's also something happening with the Giants, which is a
different story altogether: My buddy Hirschy (a lifelong Giants fan)
attended Sunday's Dallas game and came away raving about a Giants crowd
that everyone had secretly feared (because of the design of the new
stadium, the PSL's and the departure of many "old-school" fans) was gone
forever. "I'm telling you," Hirschy said, "when Cruz was breaking away
on that long touchdown, the roar was like the old roar from the old
place. We still have it." And they'll have it again this week.
The pick: Giants 31, Falcons 20.http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/...otball-mailbag
Re: Bill Simmons on Giants-Falcons...
There IS something happening with the Giants and I get the same feeling as this article. I don't know much about the Falcs, but they are consistent but nothing about them seems to really stand out to me.