Because of all of the effort and examination being poured into these predictions, the draft is a robust market that, in the aggregate, does a good job of sorting prospects from top to bottom.1 Yet despite so many people trying to “beat the market,” no single actor can do it consistently. Abnormal returns are likely due to luck, not skill. But that hasn’t stopped NFL executives from behaving with the confidence of traders.
“Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.” MB Rule # 1
i could see us trading down as this is a deep draft. san fran just lost a starting CB to a felony so they will have to address that in the draft. i think they have a ton of picks. if the best CB is there at 12, that may be a way to trade down.