DVOA RATINGS, WEEK 19

"Once again, it is time for postseason DVOA
ratings. As always, the following rules apply:
    [*]All 32 teams are ranked, whether they
    made the playoffs or not.[*]Teams are ranked in order of weighted
    DVOA, not total season DVOA. Since weighted DVOA is meant to lower the strength
    of older games, these ratings do not include Weeks 1-5, and Weeks 6-11 are
    somewhat discounted.[*]Teams are treated as having a bye week in
    any week where they did not play. Since most teams haven't played in two weeks,
    that means some of the ratings for non-playoff teams can start getting a little
    unreliable. Really, this is only to be used for playoff teams, the other teams
    are just there for ranking comparison purposes.[*]DVOA, as always takes a long-term view of
    an NFL team's performance. That means that the games of the last two weeks are
    just two games among many, so teams may be listed below other teams that they
    have beaten in the playoffs.[/list]

    This really means something, of course,
    when it comes to the Giants, whose season has followed a crazy up-down-up trend
    similar to four years ago. If we look only at DVOA over the last four weeks, the
    Giants would be number one. But the Giants were lousy between Week 10 and Week
    15. Those games are all accounted for in the current weighted DVOA ratings.
    History has shown us that most of the time, it's better to look at two or three
    months of games. And by history, I mean pretty much most of the last 20 years
    except for the 2007 Giants and 2008 Cardinals. So, honestly, who the hell knows.
    The Giants confuse me.





    The playoff odds report
    is also updated through through this week's games.


    * * * * *




    To save people some time, we remind
    everyone to put their angry troll hatred into the official zlionsfan angry troll
    hatred Mad Libs form:





    If you are new to our website, you can
    read the explanation of how DVOA is figured here. As always, positive numbers represent more points so
    DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.





































































































































































































































































































































































































































    TEAM WEI.
    DVOA
    LAST
    WEEK
    W-L WEI OFF
    DVOA
    OFF.
    RANK
    WEI DEF
    DVOA
    DEF.
    RANK
    WEI S.T.
    DVOA
    S.T.
    RANK

    1 NO 32.6% 1 14-4 48.9% 1 16.6% 30 0.4% 17
    2 NE 32.4% 4 14-3 40.1% 2 15.5% 26 7.7% 3
    3 PIT 26.0% 3 12-5 15.7% 9 -7.0% 5 3.3% 9
    4 PHI 24.4% 5 8-8 16.8% 8 -6.9% 6 0.6% 16
    5 GB 22.3% 2 15-2 34.7% 3 16.0% 28 3.6% 8
    6 HOU 20.2% 6 11-7 8.5% 12 -10.5% 2 1.2% 13
    7 SF 19.7% 7 14-3 3.2% 16 -8.7% 4 7.8% 2
    8 DET 16.1% 8 10-7 20.1% 6 1.2% 14 -2.8% 27
    9 BAL 14.5% 10 13-4 8.3% 13 -9.6% 3 -3.4% 29
    10 NYG 13.7% 13 11-7 17.5% 7 4.6% 17 0.9% 15
    11 ATL 12.4% 9 10-7 8.9% 11 -5.7% 10 -2.2% 26
    12 SEA 11.0% 12 7-9 3.0% 18 -5.9% 9 2.1% 11
    13 SD 10.4% 15 8-8 26.0% 5 16.5% 29 0.9% 14
    14 TEN 9.9% 16 9-7 1.4% 19 3.3% 15 11.9% 1
    15 MIA 9.1% 11 6-10 -2.9% 20 -6.4% 8 5.6% 5
    16 NYJ 6.9% 14 8-8 -3.7% 21 -6.9% 7 3.7% 7

    TEAM WEI.
    DVOA
    LAST
    WEEK
    W-L WEI OFF
    DVOA
    OFF.
    RANK
    WEI DEF
    DVOA
    DEF.
    RANK
    WEI S.T.
    DVOA
    S.T.
    RANK

    17 CAR 2.1% 17 6-10 26.8% 4 21.7% 31 -3.1% 28
    18 DAL -2.7% 18 8-8 10.8% 10 12.9% 23 -0.6% 19
    19 CIN -5.0% 20 9-8 3.1% 17 10.8% 22 2.7% 10
    20 WAS -6.0% 22 5-11 3.2% 15 7.4% 19 -1.8% 24
    21 CHI -6.6% 19 8-8 -25.7% 32 -13.2% 1 6.0% 4
    22 CLE -9.5% 24 4-12 -4.7% 22 9.3% 20 4.6% 6
    23 OAK -10.0% 25 8-8 6.4% 14 15.1% 24 -1.2% 20
    24 KC -10.8% 23 7-9 -14.6% 26 -5.5% 11 -1.7% 23
    25 ARI -12.8% 26 8-8 -15.6% 28 -1.0% 13 1.9% 12
    26 DEN -16.0% 21 9-9 -5.9% 23 10.2% 21 0.1% 18
    27 JAC -17.7% 27 5-11 -17.9% 29 -1.7% 12 -1.5% 22
    28 BUF -22.9% 28 6-10 -6.3% 24 15.4% 25 -1.3% 21
    29 IND -25.0% 29 2-14 -14.6% 27 6.9% 18 -3.4% 30
    30 MIN -32.0% 30 3-13 -11.2% 25 15.6% 27 -5.2% 31
    31 STL -32.5% 31 2-14 -21.8% 31 4.6% 16 -6.2% 32
    32 TB -45.2% 32 4-12 -19.9% 30 23.1% 32 -2.1% 25




    Here are the one-game DVOA ratings for the
    second round of the playoffs. Yes, Houston did in fact come out with a slightly
    higher DVOA than Baltimore. Fumbles are such a bummer.





































































    DVOA (with opponent adjustments)
    TEAM TOT OFF DEF ST
    SF 55% 17% -16% 22%
    NO 21% 44% 14% -8%
    NE 106% 68% -21% 17%
    DEN -102% -54% 42% -6%
    BAL 23% -24% -36% 11%
    HOU 29% -12% -43% -2%
    NYG 63% 31% -35% -3%
    GB -11% 1% 19% 7%


























































    VOAf (no opponent adjustments)
    TEAM TOT OFF DEF ST
    SF 23% 20% 20% 22%
    NO 9% 33% 16% -8%
    NE 124% 73% -34% 17%
    DEN -112% -41% 66% -6%
    BAL 8% -33% -30% 11%
    HOU 10% -27% -39% -2%
    NYG 38% 40% -1% -3%
    GB -15% 6% 27% 7%




    Based on DVOA, this actually isn't the
    worst game the Packers played all year. It's close. They had -17.5% DVOA for
    their Week 11 narrow win over Tampa Bay, and -15.5% for their Week 15 loss to
    Kansas City.




    The Patriots' 45-10 domination of Denver
    wasn't just a run-of-the-mill big win where the Patriots offense played its
    usual good game and the Broncos offense played its usual bad game. It was
    actually one of the biggest wins of the season. The Patriots' single-game DVOA
    was the third highest of the entire season, behind only two games: Houston's
    Week 7 41-7 win over Tennessee and Baltimore's Week 1 35-7 win over Pittsburgh.
    Denver's single-game DVOA was the second lowest of the entire season, ahead of
    only Washington's 23-0 loss to Buffalo in Week 8."