Basically he was leaning towards the Giants but then he pointed out that Vegas odds are what they are for a reason and that Vegas has won 19 out of last 21 Super Bowls so he has now flip flopped and taking the points.
He has also said that Giants defense may be over-rated by saying the Jets were a locker-room mess, Dallas was no good (Yeah that's what he said), Green Bay didn't play since Christmas, and 49ers has a game manager playing QB. Of course he has conveniently left out Atlanta which totally ruins his argument.
I'm not too concerned about his reasons on how the defense may be over-rated, but I sort of am curious of the Vegas odds history, if they are so good at picking the winner then there may be a good cause for a real concern as to why Vegas is picking the Patriots, and maybe Giants are not as clear-cut favorite that most Giants fans think they are.
Anybody with a good knowledge on the gambling scene have any input to add?